TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a21…9318backed Yes32c14,263$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cd…972abacked Yes44c9,787$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.956530.8%20 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes31c9,061$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.077413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes36c9,024$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.7188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c5,351$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c4,487$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.34,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes10c4,035$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.876136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…8a22backed No66c3,674$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.364639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes36c3,657$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.5844435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes7c3,373$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No51c3,073$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.9920955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Yes7c3,018$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207714.3%11 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes32c3,000$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.57431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c2,912$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.831,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No74c2,495$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.7717558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Yes30c2,431$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.512429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No74c2,359$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2565651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb5…e36ebacked Yes9c2,313$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e8…ebb7backed No42c2,287$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c2,220$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…42b8backed Yes52c2,115$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.994738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a7…881bbacked Yes44c1,750$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes30c1,548$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No69c1,414$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3222634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No66c1,395$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.8918545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes57c1,366$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.7713437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c71…0b6dbacked Yes2c1,339$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Yes68c1,334$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90510348.5%50 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No65c1,263$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0121958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes8c1,226$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.672317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…d725backed Yes9c1,201$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0150%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes4c1,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.436098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No77c1,180$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3646047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes7c1,177$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.671674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4acb…e264backed Yes9c1,141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes7c1,117$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.164949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Yes30c1,084$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.312441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes42c1,045$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.8510038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No72c979.07$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.241,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No48c950$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49414553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes35c911.79$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2125638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes57c899.42$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9719345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes51c894.43$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.164233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked No45c854.76$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07bc…b413backed No61c746.6$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.281478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c01…7cafbacked Yes9c725$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No78c717.21$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7964850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…57ebbacked No70c710.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.391546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No61c699$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3219445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4263…edb3backed No63c672.54$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No67c664.62$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9828554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No53c662.61$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3726344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes37c657.96$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5114920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0f…68e1backed Yes24c636.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.552035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes34c608$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.113842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes41c600$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2483542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes37c599.21$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.951442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bca…ae3cbacked Yes2c596.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+103.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No67c591$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1813060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes30c583.57$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1811834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No71c582$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7813957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x059d…52d5backed Yes39c557.83$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes42c551.46$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes39c515.62$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4135041.1%144 W · 206 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.57733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes33c499.94$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4818443.5%80 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No78c469$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8414055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes5c462.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No61c450$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3934554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes29c445.38$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.164346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…076abacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048263.4%52 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes49c400$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.217632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes56c399.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1447648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb163…6062backed No36c380$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.092030%6 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2756…7737backed Yes6c370.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67348.8%3 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+724.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No43c368.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1527345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b9…4d3abacked No34c368.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+111%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes5c355.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.283930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No75c353.35$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9637644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…2573backed No63c350$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa34…1db9backed Yes43c348.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d5…7344backed Yes29c346.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No61c333$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.537856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes42c323.58$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.914945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes52c302$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0412735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…04c0backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes66c300$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.922749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…882dbacked No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb23…d5a9backed Yes50c299.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6910143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes10c290.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308821.6%19 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes9c283$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes6c280.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes38c273.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3922243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No62c270$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6514858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…5f55backed Yes10c265.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No71c256$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6128256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes27c255.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.828124.7%20 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d30…91d6backed No55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.