TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29cd…972a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6530.8%20 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,624.55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.78
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$3,708.56
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,307.47
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,873Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$3,207.71
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,334.95
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,868.56
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$284
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$510
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$135
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$440
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$48.43
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$175.55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.77
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,036.44
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,031.87
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$3,882.45
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$25.71
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,059.28
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,020.45
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,563.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.2%+$180.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$237
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.