World Politics · resolved market
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829f02bf4995077e03e29c58f20555808061862b8c5a53befe757b84ac10ad93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0288…c37abacked Yes | 4c | 50,505$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 47,051$28,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,467.57 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 57c | 36,817$21,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,652.94 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked Yes | 6c | 29,345$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked No | 80c | 28,190$22,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.45 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 52c | 23,793$12,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,393.28 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…ce1abacked Yes | 1c | 21,407$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 26c | 17,494$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked No | 76c | 16,236$12,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 40c | 16,030$6,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 67c | 14,063$9,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.47 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…c7d6backed Yes | 41c | 13,583$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538.86 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Yes | 26c | 10,345$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 50c | 10,248$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.03 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 22c | 10,200$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 38c | 8,681$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.04 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 38c | 8,314$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.94 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked Yes | 11c | 6,399$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 74c | 5,881$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…611bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,846$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 66c | 4,527$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.61 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 15c | 4,495$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 24c | 4,261$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…c686backed Yes | 18c | 4,067$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 29c | 3,706$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 74c | 3,211$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.79 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed No | 39c | 2,667$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 42c | 2,305$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.67 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 25c | 1,963$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…9030backed Yes | 19c | 1,541$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…ae90backed Yes | 24c | 1,490$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…a7d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,410$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 76c | 1,274$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…7cc7backed Yes | 8c | 1,245$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…ba73backed Yes | 34c | 1,168$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 4c | 1,126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 61c | 1,112$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 68c | 1,098$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,091$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 15c | 1,091$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Yes | 2c | 1,029$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,028$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 16c | 1,017$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 18c | 991.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Yes | 12c | 989.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 987.36$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 894 | 48.3%432 W · 462 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 73c | 964.75$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 6c | 956.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…5587backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 34c | 908$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.12 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…28c3backed Yes | 18c | 874.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 78c | 850$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 78c | 833$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 799.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 553 | 34.5%191 W · 362 L | -38.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 23c | 785.15$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 75c | 696$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 70c | 694.18$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 72c | 662.81$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…ab64backed No | 76c | 662.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 40c | 656.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.98 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Yes | 2c | 652.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 642.44$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 75c | 642$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 75c | 625$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Yes | 22c | 620$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…556dbacked Yes | 66c | 608.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 73c | 600$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 66c | 580.72$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…f574backed No | 54c | 580.22$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 22c | 551$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed No | 63c | 549.84$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 3c | 535.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…41a5backed Yes | 78c | 528.69$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 31c | 520.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed Yes | 22c | 512$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…2b78backed Yes | 30c | 503.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 5c | 471.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…9c69backed Yes | 5c | 465.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 41c | 433.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 44c | 427$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 7c | 422.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde0…bdf0backed Yes | 68c | 418.4$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 407.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 404.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…a022backed Yes | 14c | 401.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…36cfbacked Yes | 78c | 382.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…2448backed Yes | 23c | 377.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…e14dbacked Yes | 26c | 366.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…12bcbacked Yes | 25c | 359.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…a13fbacked Yes | 29c | 347.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…db61backed No | 72c | 346.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?this page
- Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.