TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa032…679e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.03
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$103.77
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$104.42
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.6
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.65
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$47.89
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$37.82
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51%+$479.03
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$70.8
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$31.75
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$15.35
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.39
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$59.37
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.92
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$39.49
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$114.31
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$31.25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$12.34
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.68
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.09
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$46.42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.6
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$206.99
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+324.1%+$324.09
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$8.09
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$154.07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$12.61
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$31.75
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$60.07
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$97.88
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$17.7
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$298.14
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$36.67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.69
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$20.11
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.35
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+121.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$30.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.