Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd87af6673bfc7abe58852435bc966749f988a39297880459de16a468621467e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x270e…53cabacked No | 63c | 3,617$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +314.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 49c | 2,418$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.45 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 57c | 1,886$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.21 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 34c | 1,809$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.59 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,304$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 63c | 1,133$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.23 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…7039backed Yes | 65c | 1,070$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 25c | 997.89$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…ed25backed Yes | 58c | 726.28$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…cb34backed Yes | 41c | 700.3$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 700.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…1f47backed Yes | 11c | 628.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 33c | 605.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 44c | 593.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.19 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed No | 66c | 544.96$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked No | 51c | 512.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed No | 73c | 497.92$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…4021backed No | 67c | 491.72$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…e413backed No | 45c | 450.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…f829backed Yes | 57c | 439.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked Yes | 49c | 405.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0639…75c6backed Yes | 60c | 404.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 62c | 391.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 52c | 385.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked No | 58c | 364.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a00…60aabacked Yes | 64c | 311.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…c1f3backed Yes | 56c | 300.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 33c | 291.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 52c | 291.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ba…4cedbacked No | 53c | 260.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 260.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd82…8f2abacked No | 39c | 260$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 58c | 249.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 57c | 249.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 37c | 211.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 211.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 36c | 191.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 48c | 191.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Yes | 37c | 176.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 40c | 165.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 63c | 164.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7930…b208backed No | 40c | 164.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 33cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…e0d5backed Yes | 50c | 161.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 41c | 154.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 30c | 151.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…7b4ebacked No | 40c | 150.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…b79abacked Yes | 15c | 149.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816f…5ad2backed No | 69c | 147.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 68c | 141.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe26…23d1backed Yes | 67c | 133.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…9153backed No | 36c | 131.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 75c | 126.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 45c | 125.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 38c | 123.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 33c | 122.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…83f0backed Yes | 65c | 113.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 51c | 113.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…1c5dbacked No | 72c | 101.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 36c | 100.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…3f31backed No | 43c | 99.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…a949backed No | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +10.1wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed No | 30c | 93.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…13d6backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 81.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…101dbacked Yes | 53c | 79.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…85b0backed Yes | 64c | 72.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…5bf9backed Yes | 70c | 71.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…72a9backed Yes | 17c | 70.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 51c | 61.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 50c | 60.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed No | 42c | 57.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 40c | 55.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes | 64c | 54.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…f812backed No | 59c | 54.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…40b0backed No | 41c | 53.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 65c | 53.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…ac87backed No | 42c | 50.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked No | 42c | 50.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 46c | 49.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…b083backed Yes | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…a6cbbacked No | 41c | 48.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…5a6dbacked No | 74c | 46.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 30c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 48c | 44.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Yes | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…0738backed No | 48c | 41.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 32c | 41.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Yes | 43c | 40.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 64c | 40.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…443bbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 63c | 39.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 51c | 39.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.