TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x758b…0a1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
743
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Weather, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 60 out of 100; worst IPO at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10938.5%42 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$76.32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$30.59
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.47
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$19.56
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$7.84
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.02
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$6.26
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.45
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8643%37 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+260%+$75.15
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.07
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$33.75
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$45.09
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$51.94
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.56
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.11
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$59.05
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.79
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$4.53
Will Darren Jones be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+174%+$25.4
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$33.39
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+360.7%+$44.76
Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$166.43
Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+469.5%+$127.01
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.7
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$38.37
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.61
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5 backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+350.3%+$49.36
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+266.3%+$41.44
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$11.33
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$28.09
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.11
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.65
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$14.85
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$7
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$7.32
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+198.1%+$27.24
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$22.6
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jacob Skov Olesen finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Matt Wallace finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+321.8%+$62.56
Will Jorge Campillo finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+277.9%+$30.15
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Beau Hossler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Jeremy Paul finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Pontus Nyholm finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$32.62
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will Tyrrell Hatton finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Marcus Kinhult finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Ze-Cheng Dou finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Manuel Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$10.79
Will Joaquin Niemann finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$13.71
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$117.49
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+707.6%+$78.3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.3
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$98.93
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$118.34
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+484.4%+$49.73
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$14.39
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+402.8%+$77.71
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+336.7%+$251.66
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$103.19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$3.42
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$35.07
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$26.2
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.6
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.34
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$13.58
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.07
Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$56.57
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$61.87
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$26
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.08
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$6.03
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.12
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.37
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.97
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$23.43
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$53.91
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.7
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$49.68
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
IPO — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$16.9
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Will CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.71
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.96
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$10.92
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.61
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+91%+$88.38
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$21.01
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+55%+$71
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.76
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.83
Will Innio's market cap be between $26B and $29B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$77.52
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$20.36
Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$25.64
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$9.22
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$5.53
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$6.59
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$11.01
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+293.7%+$49.98
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.63
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$67.33
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$15.12
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.47
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$23.38
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$25.58
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$14.54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$64.28
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$80.31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.45
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$45.91
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+607.1%+$120.2
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.82
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+135%+$56.17
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$66.8
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$18.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+493.2%+$66.52
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$67.28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$136
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+393.8%+$46.02
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49%+$7.73
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$13.93
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+392%+$52.76
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+73%+$8.44
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+800.8%+$537.84
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.05
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+644.2%+$103.88
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.08
Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.3
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$27.57
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.92
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$8.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$61.6
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$20.96
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.93
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$87.41
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$10.22
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.83
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.3%+$26.45
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.64
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$77.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.74
Will Ancient Be Removed by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Anubis Be Removed by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Dust 2 Be Removed by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Nuke Be Removed by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$9.27
Will GamerLegion Make a Roster Change before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$42.17
Will FaZe Clan Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will 100T make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will FURIA make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick36cpaid+94.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+621.2%+$75.31
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+166.5%+$115.07
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$8.51
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$188.1
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21.98
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$57.18
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+77%+$43.73
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$7.08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.8%+$645.26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$40.67
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+611.1%+$188.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Madison Keys advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Madison Keys advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Taylor Fritz advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Marta Kostyuk advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will Jakub Mensik advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$24.2
Will Mirra Andreeva advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Mirra Andreeva advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ben Shelton advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+59.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$30.05
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$6.73
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$17.8
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$6.83
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.85
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$38.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Cinema" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$13.77
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$215.35
Will "Legendary" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will T1 Outperform BLG at MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will a LEC Team Beat An Eastern Team in a Bo5 at MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$8.11
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.78
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Rex Regum Qeon be the Last VCT Pacific Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$7.17
Will Paper Rex be the Last VCT Pacific Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Fnatic be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Jinggg to have the most killsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$33.07
Something to have the most killsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.52
Will Team Heretics be the last EMEA team standing at Masters Londonbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$85.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.