CS2 · resolved market
Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro League
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1721d1e4b54095b90b3d5e54a1de73010b45ff6b7283c24c681fa23864b01fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 32c | 1,170$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.54 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes | 27c | 708.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 73c | 681$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.13 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 7c | 435.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.56 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 12c | 264.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 207.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 188.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 185.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 18c | 171.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 22c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 149.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 135$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 29c | 126$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c7debacked Yes | 29c | 125.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked Yes | 62c | 122$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 39c | 107$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 75c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 56c | 88.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 50c | 85.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 78c | 83.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…3679backed No | 35c | 78.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed Yes | 57c | 76.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 61.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…b95bbacked Yes | 46c | 52.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 61c | 44.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Yes | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 41.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…1764backed Yes | 35c | 40.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…d9c6backed No | 45c | 37.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 41c | 31.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 45c | 29.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed No | 48c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked No | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…c0aebacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd823…12febacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro Leaguethis page
- Will Alliance Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will BIG Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will FaZe Clan Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will Monte Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will PARIVISION Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will TYLOO Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will Team Nemesis Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.