CS2 · resolved market
Will PARIVISION Win the XSE Pro League
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48ec4d9e0a847a7421f1907b6e8f856717724527c9601999ed7e0a6d55165ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Yes | 15c | 565.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Yes | 45c | 349.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked No | 74c | 199$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 185.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 182.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 10c | 179.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 175$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 21c | 166.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed No | 50c | 159.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 149.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 24c | 113.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 11c | 105.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 20c | 96.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…b95bbacked Yes | 43c | 58.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Yes | 41c | 58.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 57.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…ec39backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b840backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…d9c6backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…c88bbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0a…708cbacked No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 57c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…b9cdbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PARIVISION Win the XSE Pro Leaguethis page
- Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro LeagueYes won
- Will Alliance Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will BIG Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will FaZe Clan Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will Monte Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will TYLOO Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
- Will Team Nemesis Win the XSE Pro LeagueNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.