Fed Rates · resolved market
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46aef361abc7c75d6b0a03b779d7f4090bace2389fbcbb5287150df05e9e8ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 73c | 10,719$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.69 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 19c | 5,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 18c | 5,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 18c | 5,318$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Yes | 23c | 3,664$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 15c | 3,595$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,456$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.29 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 29c | 3,079$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 23c | 1,989$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…cfa4backed No | 78c | 1,800$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 1,744$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 22c | 1,369$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 79c | 1,328$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…804ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,317$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 1,267$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…8b3abacked Yes | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 19c | 1,100$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 80c | 1,005$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 32c | 902.82$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…526ebacked No | 68c | 738.24$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…3e76backed No | 68c | 730.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 19c | 552.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 15c | 511.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 475.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 28c | 433.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 26c | 431.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 18c | 381.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 354.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 14c | 353.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…08febacked Yes | 29c | 328.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…49e7backed Yes | 13c | 316$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed Yes | 18c | 284.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…30f2backed Yes | 13c | 258.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 13c | 253$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 34c | 252.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…71cebacked No | 79c | 244$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 71c | 243.86$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…3793backed Yes | 49c | 206.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…4addbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 80c | 198.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes | 30c | 192.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 180.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 318 | 7.2%23 W · 295 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 67c | 170.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed No | 80c | 169$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 76c | 162$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 20c | 151.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 70c | 147.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 15c | 145$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 63c | 127.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 71c | 127$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 23c | 123.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…e91ebacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…db55backed No | 64c | 119.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 112.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 200 | 21.5%43 W · 157 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…3337backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 17c | 106.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…3a47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 30c | 94.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 18c | 72.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…6e9ebacked No | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 16c | 66.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…5db1backed No | 78c | 59.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724e…8c4dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…39e3backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 49.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…6f14backed No | 67c | 48.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 23c | 47.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 67c | 45.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked No | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…8d6cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5688…9f32backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…9e2fbacked Yes | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae9…4ba7backed No | 59c | 34.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…2f64backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 60c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b5b2backed No | 80c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.