TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1016…c866

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
357
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Weather, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 61 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT7722.1%17 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$40.92
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.79
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.92
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.54
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.17
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38%+$18.54
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+346.1%+$46.27
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.11
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$10.48
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.55
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$89.9
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$22.44
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT4022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$7.67
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$15.01
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.72
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.6%+$15.63
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.55
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.4%+$17.02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$208.89
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32%+$17.59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.1%+$4.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.2%+$10.14
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$259.49
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$46.49
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44.01
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33.34
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+994.6%+$1,364.94
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.49
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.47
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37.3
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3974.4%29 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+50.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$16.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or higher on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.85
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$10.71
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$5.37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$5.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$19.12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+71.2%+$18.47
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$6.83
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37.1%+$5.21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 40°F or higher on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+129.2%+$23.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+32.6%+$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+76.2%+$9.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+52.2%+$15.91
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+54.9%+$9.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+57.9%+$7.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.1%+$8.01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+52.9%+$10.96
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.6%+$5.52
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132%+$41.02
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+390.6%+$101.75
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.95
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.45
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$45.57
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$27.08
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.25
Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.52
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+1,358.5%+$153.95
Will "Hamnet" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will "Sentimental Value" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.7%+$5.22
Will "The Secret Agent" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.05
Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+46%+$15.92
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Cinematography at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will "Zootropolis 2" win Best Animated Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+32.7%+$6.84
Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.08
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+647.7%+$289.24
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+697.5%+$96.64
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+700.7%+$105.06
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.62
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.72
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.77
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$41.84
Will Solana dip to $120 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+46.5%+$6.64
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37.4%+$6.84
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+2.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+27.5%+$6.69
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.7%+$10.66
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+79.5%+$13.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+39.3%+$9.18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+38.8%+$6.41
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+79.4%+$12.84
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$28.24
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.3%+$29.42
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+54.9%+$45.96
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+97.9%+$12.66
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.86
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+91.9%+$20.65
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.6%+$10.52
Spread: Suns (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+91.4%+$18.28
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+123.8%+$40.49
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.72
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100.5%+$21.05
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.4%+$10.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.88
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.08
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+193%+$36.95
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+744.4%+$138.99
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$8.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.1%+$26.2
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.7%+$26.62
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+41.5%+$14.48
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.8%+$9.33
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$91.96
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.8%+$11.87
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.64
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31%+$74.41
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+39.4%+$14.55
Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+525%+$73.41
Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-73.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.87
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.24
Perle Labs FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.64
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+80.2%+$9.57
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.7%+$13
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.72
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.99
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.02
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.03
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.98
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.94
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-81.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+429.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+241.8%+$27.33
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+1,146.2%+$140.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+120.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$16.7
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+73.2%+$8.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+773.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+773.7%+$95.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+209.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+209.8%+$84.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FRG vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.5%+$7.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$6.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Alycia Parks vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+46%+$5.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$11.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify report greater than 745 million monthly active users?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.