NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59c966c79c0dd857c6a1ec3e41ba46dda27f5f22187f2f4d3e4716ab498c39e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Under | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Under | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,558$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5baebacked Under | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 80c | 929$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 47c | 873.5$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 20c | 546.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…0a32backed Under | 67c | 434.04$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 56c | 424.48$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 412.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 36c | 391.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…53d7backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under | 29c | 345.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 67c | 319.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 17c | 314$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 65c | 308.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 65c | 307.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Under | 33c | 302.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 260.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 37c | 240.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 201.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 185.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 176.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 25c | 172.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 60c | 166.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…c5cabacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 7c | 158.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed Under | 13c | 143.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 38c | 135.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 15c | 133.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 65c | 129.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…a9d2backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +356.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Under | 18c | 112.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 57c | 111.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 58c | 105.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…0a43backed Under | 36c | 101.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 60c | 100.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 35c | 98.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…52d1backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 46c | 93.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 59c | 86.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 75c | 77.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Over | 43c | 70.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…c8bebacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…24bebacked Under | 49c | 61.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 65c | 54.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 78c | 54.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Over | 38c | 50.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…98b3backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 39c | 37.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Under | 62c | 35.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 40c | 25.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 60c | 22.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Harrison Barnes: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.