NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2528157eff99b163983ede109e2632d1b312bd549671882e643b789db1ccc79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Under | 51c | 9,615$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.89 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 8,279$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 51c | 5,617$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.52 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 5,525$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.25 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 61c | 2,561$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 51c | 1,708$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.84 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 61c | 1,048$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over | 43c | 1,017$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.47 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 877.67$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 47c | 749$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.32 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…9069backed Over | 49c | 536.55$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 493.65$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 437.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 38c | 392.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.11 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 322.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 55c | 268.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 247.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 53c | 226.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 125.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 43c | 116.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 114$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 111.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 108.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 51c | 102.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 56c | 61.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 56.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 51c | 55.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 49c | 46.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 46.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 42.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 47c | 40.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…9ba1backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 27.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 47c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 54c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 22.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 60c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Harrison Barnes: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.