TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes1c48,273$644 inLost-$643.66842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c6,605$23 inLost-$23.481,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04fd…8175backed Yes1c1,990$20 inLost-$19.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No54c919.14$499 inWon+$4201,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38d7…fb43backed Yes9c775.37$69 inLost-$69425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No57c495.49$285 inWon+$210.931,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa6…d493backed Yes46c473.34$217 inLost-$217714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ac3…c523backed Yes46c217.02$100 inLost-$1006540%26 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…db59backed Yes45c166.67$75 inLost-$75825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Yes40c125.19$50 inLost-$5015154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes45c49$22 inLost-$22.059657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Yes45c39$18 inLost-$17.553847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.