TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over51c98,941$50,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,645.564355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c39,306$19,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,537.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.9829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c26,081$13,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,906.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under49c10,007$4,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.4218747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under49c9,768$4,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.2338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under40c8,759$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.7283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c8,400$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c7,117$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,487.332,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c6,603$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c6,447$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.422,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over46c5,591$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.324847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over53c4,847$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.9642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c4,027$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c4,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c4,000$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.331,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under49c3,412$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6725154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under6c3,400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c3,006$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under17c2,676$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.871,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c2,637$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.711,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over45c2,615$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.0520948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over46c2,315$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.8341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c2,104$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c1,430$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.333,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,424$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over53c1,057$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under49c904.64$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1121243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c831.83$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under32c798.67$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c561$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c547.43$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under50c486$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.493330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over46c419.57$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.576258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under55c409.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over52c383.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1314742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over44c363.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6411351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…17ffbacked Over44c357.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Under50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x464f…7bffbacked Under12c266.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Under22c215.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.492931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9817545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf81…642ebacked Under50c199.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c196.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over52c193.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.778839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under54c182$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9929458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9115149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under32c156.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under24c155.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6624330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under12c139.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over51c130.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.418339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c46…c777backed Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under49c91.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5433653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.969642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Under24c77.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under54c73.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6331955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over51c61.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.214847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under55c59.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under28c54.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.115933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae56…8c22backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over52c51.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9238347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under27c44.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2337949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over51c43.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4557657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fd…44e1backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked Under44c38.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked Under49c36.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.692646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0911051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.371,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…2862backed Over51c34.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Over47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.046354%34 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over69c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.381,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c33.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2718150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over44c28.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8617960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under49c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Under51c23.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.912777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under49c23.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.616951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57f…4088backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.