TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53e5…6177backed Over45c11,319$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.176152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa571…270fbacked Over53c9,721$5,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c8,156$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.372,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Under50c8,065$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05113435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…9145backed Under47c7,758$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over57c7,664$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c7,070$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c6,238$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Under60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c4,245$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.611,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over43c3,791$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.932,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under54c3,494$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.272,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c3,252$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d90…9845backed Over50c2,366$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over42c2,295$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.3866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa16d…0e34backed Under47c1,954$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under46c1,825$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5927747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Under26c1,535$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.652842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under15c1,535$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.281,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over41c1,532$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.985543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,404$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.312,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over54c1,385$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.0941652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under59c1,385$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.292,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under1c1,300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c1,198$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c984.29$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.62,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c795.74$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e8c…0f78backed Under47c764.12$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9139…0b63backed Over40c700$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.781250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddef…c9acbacked Over53c698.38$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Over48c635$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c535.71$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.571,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over48c505.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1129347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c376.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c367.9$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Under14c338.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.162931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under60c325.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.321243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c322.34$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over72c302$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.224846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c299.85$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.152,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under5c291.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2430616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x614d…48d5backed Over53c283.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e69…ea0cbacked Under47c247.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed0…c618backed Under48c208.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over52c199.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.986333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under57c191.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.896040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under53c188.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05c…951ebacked Under7c163.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.374332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under63c158.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Over53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.947746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under58c147$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.611,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over62c146.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over41c123$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5718339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over57c122.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed Over48c119.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.232250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under19c112.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7724330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c105.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under55c105$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…a6d5backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264540%18 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4a…2c89backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over47c95.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.813750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…d841backed Under47c95.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over47c88.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1117960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c25…3968backed Over53c81.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c76.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4740960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe847…b7e2backed Over49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under52c66.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Over41c62.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.811931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1614751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over41c54.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.741,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under54c52.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over49c49.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3827943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under55c45.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over71c44.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c44.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79eb…9c72backed Over79c43.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under52c41.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.945,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0196…b9c3backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over77c37.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7745653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0429247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over48c36.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over43c35.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.