NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3272ec6dd6dfa64714c6cd56d694d515459497b673378b6e34ea3a60b27cee53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,161,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,288,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,161,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 17c | 524,998$88,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,499.71 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 26c | 270,214$70,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,899.96 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 76c | 197,242$150,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,137.76 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 75c | 127,501$95,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,102.7 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 79c | 124,262$98,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,177.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Lakers | 0c | 123,369$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.91 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Lakers | 0c | 118,438$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lakers | 26c | 113,256$29,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,346.51 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…6cf0backed Lakers | 27c | 111,500$29,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,987.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 16c | 107,631$17,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,220.99 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Spurs | 75c | 105,964$79,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,642.06 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 77c | 104,111$80,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,479.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers | 0c | 86,682$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 23c | 81,908$18,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,897.35 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Lakers | 17c | 73,424$12,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,403.37 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Spurs | 79c | 70,077$55,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,682.87 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 1c | 70,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Lakers | 15c | 67,951$10,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,192.64 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Lakers | 1c | 64,883$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.04 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 79c | 63,713$50,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,266.36 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lakers | 18c | 60,366$10,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,893.78 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 27c | 60,000$16,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,299.98 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 72c | 50,157$36,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.95 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers | 25c | 49,072$12,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,087.88 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Lakers | 5c | 45,800$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.58 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 2c | 43,493$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.05 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers | 0c | 40,224$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Spurs | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 7c | 34,921$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.98 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers | 15c | 33,276$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.71 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Lakers | 15c | 33,008$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.14 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Lakers | 25c | 31,091$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,724.97 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 6c | 30,610$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.52 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…0f4bbacked Lakers | 9c | 30,300$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers | 16c | 30,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Lakers | 6c | 29,478$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.42 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs | 75c | 28,319$21,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,162.98 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cce…e832backed Lakers | 7c | 25,106$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Lakers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Spurs | 74c | 24,411$18,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.81 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs | 72c | 23,940$17,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.32 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Lakers | 25c | 23,070$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.48 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 75c | 21,999$16,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.53 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 76c | 20,476$15,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Lakers | 29c | 20,268$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,851.21 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…af37backed Lakers | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Spurs | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Lakers | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 79c | 18,853$14,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Spurs | 71c | 18,680$13,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.2 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spurs | 74c | 18,142$13,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.68 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 6c | 18,000$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.5 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Spurs | 72c | 17,466$12,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Spurs | 72c | 16,800$12,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Lakers | 28c | 16,799$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Lakers | 0c | 16,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 6c | 15,909$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 77c | 15,905$12,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…f7cebacked Lakers | 2c | 15,777$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 73c | 14,998$10,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.46 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Lakers | 19c | 14,508$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.9 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 16c | 14,466$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.15 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Lakers | 14c | 14,002$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.01 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 21c | 12,150$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lakers | 24c | 12,067$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.66 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Lakers | 3c | 11,966$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.29 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Lakers | 29c | 11,329$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.48 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Lakers | 25c | 11,111$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.75 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 73c | 11,025$8,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.02 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Lakers | 12c | 11,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Lakers | 37c | 10,025$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…682abacked Lakers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Lakers | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Spurs | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Lakers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Lakers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Spurs | 79c | 9,889$7,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.35 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 6c | 9,700$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 73c | 9,668$7,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Lakers | 18c | 9,357$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.96 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 9c | 8,781$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.71 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 76c | 8,466$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs | 73c | 8,142$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.51 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…924fbacked Spurs | 72c | 8,001$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.28 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Lakers | 25c | 8,000$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…f689backed Lakers | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 7c | 7,770$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Lakers | 23c | 7,675$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 11c | 7,217$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Lakers | 28c | 7,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 3c | 6,566$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Lakers | 16c | 6,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers | 15c | 6,500$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.49 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 16c | 6,375$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Lakers | 18c | 6,222$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…930cbacked Spurs | 77c | 6,100$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Lakers | 28c | 6,100$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Spurs | 72c | 6,100$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.97 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Harrison Barnes: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.