NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d2dfbccdafc2f3d767777589526c0802bec63547262fac45f800c2574b9c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f8…365abacked Under | 55c | 7,136$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…2400backed Over | 45c | 4,222$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 48c | 3,437$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.24 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 2,542$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.47 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…763ebacked Over | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…9845backed Over | 46c | 2,417$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 2,367$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 45c | 1,338$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.9 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 953.58$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 751.32$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 687.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.12 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 47c | 567.08$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.27 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Under | 41c | 490.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 480.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda80…4a2ebacked Over | 45c | 468.88$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 34c | 397.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 335.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 63c | 317.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 55c | 309.84$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 234.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 54c | 138.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 50c | 136.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 122.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…91fdbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 46c | 107.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 39c | 66.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 19c | 62.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 61c | 57.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 49c | 54.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 55c | 51.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 49c | 47.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 39c | 39.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Over | 42c | 36.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…0e11backed Over | 51c | 36.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…afbcbacked Under | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 33.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 41c | 33.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…2b27backed Under | 50c | 30.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 65c | 29.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…bfcfbacked Over | 51c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 24.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 47c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Under | 59c | 21.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Over | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Harrison Barnes: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.