TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,576 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c8,775$3,765 inLost-$3,764.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over58c3,465$2,006 inWon+$1,458.674654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon+$785.7116042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over60c1,368$821 inWon+$547.3913464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,304$704 inWon+$599.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c900$391 inLost-$3913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over60c666.67$400 inWon+$266.6714847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Over55c630.91$347 inWon+$283.912657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aa8…1bfabacked Under45c590$266 inLost-$265.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under43c439.56$189 inLost-$188.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under7c420.27$28 inLost-$27.5783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under5c285.85$14 inLost-$14.2924330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d89…d5a6backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon+$127.781855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under22c229.46$51 inLost-$50.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under5c225$11 inLost-$11.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Over55c203.64$112 inWon+$91.642751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Under42c137.78$57 inLost-$57.518140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over55c127.27$70 inWon+$57.2714547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Over55c100$55 inWon+$458030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under46c99.99$46 inLost-$4680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed Under47c85.11$40 inLost-$404427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon+$28.9795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Over55c66.89$37 inWon+$30.244372.1%31 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over59c51.31$30 inWon+$21.0857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over59c50$30 inWon+$20.59653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over57c43.18$25 inWon+$18.573641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Over58c40$23 inWon+$16.810558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over58c37.79$22 inWon+$15.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c35.17$15 inLost-$14.771,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over58c35$20 inWon+$14.79450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.3322646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under41c30.16$12 inLost-$12.3750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over54c30$16 inWon+$13.831947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd617…496abacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon+$11.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over60c24.32$15 inWon+$9.734852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over55c23.64$13 inWon+$10.6441556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…3a3cbacked Under46c23.03$11 inLost-$10.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over58c18.41$11 inWon+$7.7359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.