TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers45c18,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Spurs57c17,882$10,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,705.2836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs56c9,830$5,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,361.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Spurs55c7,272$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.413142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Lakers34c6,330$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.0221642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers43c5,201$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers45c3,933$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.851,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs56c3,165$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.7936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs67c2,370$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs59c2,037$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Spurs57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9448957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Spurs72c1,819$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers44c1,750$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Spurs58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.143850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs55c1,516$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.331,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Lakers27c1,192$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.541,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs66c1,131$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.181,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Spurs67c900$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29714746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers43c766.5$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers37c713.23$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs55c625.28$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Spurs65c545.12$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0923845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs54c440.56$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.272,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae9…0801backed Spurs70c439.97$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs71c376.48$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Spurs55c369.93$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4761747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Spurs54c304.39$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Lakers38c300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.216539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs67c298.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.52,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers47c297.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Lakers44c279.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.968350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Lakers43c263.95$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2621243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Lakers46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Spurs56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11015154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Spurs55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.59269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs54c229.49$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Lakers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Lakers39c208.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6418644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Spurs55c206.47$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4718456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Lakers40c206.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2113750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Spurs53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5728554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Spurs67c174.33$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers42c173.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.793,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Spurs58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4161056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Spurs71c160.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.424330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs62c159.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8933360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Spurs57c157.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8918256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5735444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs70c142.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Spurs72c142.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6211663.8%74 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Lakers45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs67c131.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.951,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Spurs54c130.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.342937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Spurs67c129.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3617960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Spurs65c129.66$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Spurs55c128.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs57c118.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.891,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers45c116.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Spurs57c115.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5064844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Spurs55c107.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers19c100.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Spurs56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Lakers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Spurs52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Spurs53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.999051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Spurs70c89.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7120762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Spurs56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2924450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs72c83.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Lakers45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9141048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Spurs68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5336751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs80c72.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7690560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs70c70.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Spurs58c69.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0925752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Spurs55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2514751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Lakers47c60.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4936247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Spurs54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.637549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Lakers36c54.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lakers45c52.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.782,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lakers35c52.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lakers43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Lakers21c49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4118957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Spurs72c48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.447154.9%39 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Lakers45c42.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9428140.6%114 W · 167 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…233fbacked Lakers45c40.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fdc…b580backed Spurs57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Lakers37c39.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Lakers44c38.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9319051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5e…f840backed Lakers48c37.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e49…b8b4backed Spurs55c35.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf219…3776backed Spurs53c35.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs52c34.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6265950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e6…cc2cbacked Spurs53c33.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Lakers50c31.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9829351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x28e6…cebabacked Lakers48c31.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Spurs61c28.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0916552.1%86 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.