TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c37,707$18,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,090.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Over52c35,586$18,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,081.1248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c20,274$10,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,846.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under49c16,410$8,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,04110949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Over52c7,688$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.245648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c5,323$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c5,247$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over51c4,923$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.2511351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over51c3,868$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.3171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c3,658$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.422,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under47c2,669$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.6341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Over52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1525749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c2,240$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.653,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over51c1,934$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.6621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over56c1,759$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9343453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under46c1,635$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75223052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c1,418$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.6538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under49c950$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.58657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Over53c695.82$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0418446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d75…4850backed Under48c608.56$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under47c565.65$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c550.94$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.961,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5442…2f88backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Over53c335$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.439443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2f…fa00backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.863033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Under46c201.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.924546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Over53c182.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.679051.1%46 W · 44 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over53c177.75$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over53c174.43$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9876250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c143.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.671,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over53c142.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8320651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c126.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0e…152ebacked Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Over53c96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.126839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Over53c86.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6844844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over53c76.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8662844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c75.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.077855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c73.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over53c71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3753945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f26…48fdbacked Under50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over53c57.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2320149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over53c48.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.76043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over51c45.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.332952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x756e…2018backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8242…6086backed Under50c38.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Over53c38.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d38…c1f2backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66f…be9cbacked Under50c35.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over53c34.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3732743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over55c33.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5b…6c99backed Over53c32.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3210443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under49c31.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5945460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over53c31.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.712541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2750…da49backed Over53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd7…e9f5backed Over53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.193644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2473…b130backed Under50c28.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Over53c27.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1612044.2%53 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over51c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1935049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Over53c24.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.414154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f9…2048backed Over53c22.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6437949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under48c20.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0127548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over55c20.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1629645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Over53c20.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4320641.7%86 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.