TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde7a…737b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST6043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.5%+$13.76
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.94
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+89.9%+$17.62
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+101.2%+$22.34
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60.17
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Spread: Jazz (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.5%+$74.29
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.72
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.84
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.15
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.53
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.07
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96%+$50.5
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.18
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+41.5%+$4.34
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+70.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+350.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+455.6%+$113.89
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$61.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+223.5%+$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.7%+$4.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$105.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.