NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62bca3237b1f2a0a3fe9f5938fff71d874a78aa0f1bb3da15e3c2edf047185f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 186,889$93,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,113.05 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 50c | 59,210$29,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,312.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 50c | 39,544$19,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,772 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jazz | 50c | 36,526$18,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,263 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz | 50c | 36,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 50c | 33,442$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,801.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies | 50c | 24,954$12,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,477.21 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Jazz | 50c | 24,165$12,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,082.33 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 50c | 12,361$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz | 50c | 12,047$6,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023.51 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 50c | 10,960$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 10,001$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.56 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 5,341$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.82 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Jazz | 50c | 4,476$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,863$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.74 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,747$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.16 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Jazz | 51c | 3,677$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.2 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jazz | 51c | 3,257$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.37 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 51c | 3,245$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 50c | 2,939$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…6302backed Jazz | 50c | 2,615$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 52c | 2,369$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,788$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.4 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 50c | 1,756$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz | 50c | 1,627$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.14 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,213$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.45 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Jazz | 50c | 1,075$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Jazz | 1c | 1,026$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Jazz | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Jazz | 55c | 999.32$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.63 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies | 45c | 986$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.3 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 859.7$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.04 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Jazz | 55c | 685$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.25 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 62c | 640.94$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 580.41$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.42 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 567.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz | 51c | 521.57$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 513.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 49c | 511.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Jazz | 51c | 505.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Jazz | 50c | 502.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jazz | 51c | 494.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Jazz | 51c | 464$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 49c | 438.38$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…edeabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 396$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…4279backed Jazz | 52c | 396$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Jazz | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 43c | 325.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 306.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 50c | 305.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Jazz | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 271.25$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jazz | 50c | 255.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 220.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 206.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 205.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Jazz | 65c | 187.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 50c | 167.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 46c | 155.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 37c | 152.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Grizzlies | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 146.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Jazz | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz | 51c | 138.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 56c | 135.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Jazz | 50c | 117.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 117.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 49c | 114.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Grizzlies | 46c | 111.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Grizzlies | 51c | 101.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Jazz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Jazz | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 97.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Grizzlies | 51c | 97.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 96.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Jazz | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Jazz | 57c | 81.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Jazz | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jazz | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Jazz won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.