TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$443,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies47c383,921$180,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,485.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz53c200,000$106,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz53c31,250$16,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,562.551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz53c27,958$14,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,817.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz56c9,422$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.121,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz56c9,400$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,26448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies45c8,410$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz54c6,706$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,595.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz54c6,177$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Jazz53c3,333$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.4914753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz57c2,861$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Grizzlies45c2,301$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.5912144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies44c2,272$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.3213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz54c1,809$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.263,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies45c1,796$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Jazz55c1,336$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies45c1,084$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.4658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz54c861$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.941,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies43c838.23$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Jazz55c659.99$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3638252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Grizzlies47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz19c496.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Jazz61c467$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.871,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Jazz57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies48c341$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz48c337.23$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies40c300.33$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.151,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jazz53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15055846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Grizzlies45c252$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Grizzlies41c236.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4526839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies44c219.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.963,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies51c214$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies38c191.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.733,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Jazz57c188$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Jazz55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Grizzlies45c171.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5723249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Jazz55c169.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4959144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Jazz56c161$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Jazz52c144$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8812349.6%61 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Jazz57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies33c113.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Jazz55c110.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9614557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies45c109$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Grizzlies47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies45c100.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.391,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz53c100.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Grizzlies47c100.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz56c98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.391,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Jazz57c94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.589443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Grizzlies23c88.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2624147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Jazz56c86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies46c78.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Jazz62c75.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6223845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Grizzlies43c69.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Jazz60c65.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Grizzlies70c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.276054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies48c61.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Jazz72c56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4612458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Grizzlies46c54.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Grizzlies46c52.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.650841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Jazz69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Jazz61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7943544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Jazz61c46.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4914643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz57c46.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae65…da6dbacked Jazz62c45.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.481850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Grizzlies45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4411045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Jazz61c42.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6334248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Grizzlies45c41.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jazz55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Jazz64c39.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Jazz55c35.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2348852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies42c35.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jazz30c33.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.191,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies43c33.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.152,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies43c33.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3ce7backed Grizzlies46c30.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.391241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef9…67afbacked Grizzlies47c30.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-65.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz53c28.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.953,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Jazz57c27.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7340947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Jazz57c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2744844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Jazz56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd430…78b8backed Grizzlies47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Jazz60c24.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Grizzlies45c24.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6219051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies44c24.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Jazz62c22.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.248636%31 W · 55 L-11.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8e5…1f2fbacked Grizzlies47c22.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked Jazz54c22.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10a8…3275backed Grizzlies47c22.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Jazz55c20.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3953349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Jazz59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78451.2%43 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jazz57c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8353945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz57c18.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Jazz59c17.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5357657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.