NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c1e424d83f8d85c0edfb5676e3cee9cb5078817b943817ea1203778ce1ede2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies | 47c | 383,921$180,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,485.99 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz | 53c | 200,000$106,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jazz | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz | 53c | 31,250$16,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,562.5 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 53c | 27,958$14,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,817.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 56c | 9,422$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.12 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz | 56c | 9,400$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 8,410$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 54c | 6,706$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 54c | 6,177$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Jazz | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 57c | 2,861$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,301$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.59 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.32 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 54c | 1,809$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,796$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Jazz | 55c | 1,336$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,084$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.46 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jazz | 54c | 861$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.94 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 43c | 838.23$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Jazz | 55c | 659.99$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Grizzlies | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jazz | 19c | 496.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Jazz | 61c | 467$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.87 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Jazz | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies | 48c | 341$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 48c | 337.23$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 40c | 300.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Jazz | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 252$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Grizzlies | 41c | 236.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 44c | 219.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 38c | 191.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Jazz | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Jazz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 171.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Jazz | 55c | 169.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Jazz | 56c | 161$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jazz | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Jazz | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Jazz | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 33c | 113.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Jazz | 55c | 110.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies | 45c | 100.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 53c | 100.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz | 56c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Jazz | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Grizzlies | 23c | 88.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Jazz | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 78.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Jazz | 62c | 75.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Grizzlies | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Jazz | 60c | 65.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Grizzlies | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Jazz | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 52.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Jazz | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Jazz | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Jazz | 61c | 46.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 57c | 46.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Jazz | 62c | 45.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Grizzlies | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Jazz | 61c | 42.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Grizzlies | 45c | 41.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jazz | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Jazz | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Jazz | 55c | 35.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 35.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jazz | 30c | 33.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 33.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3ce7backed Grizzlies | 46c | 30.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…67afbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 30.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 53c | 28.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Jazz | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Jazz | 57c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Jazz | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Jazz | 60c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Jazz | 62c | 22.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…1f2fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked Jazz | 54c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…3275backed Grizzlies | 47c | 22.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Jazz | 55c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Jazz | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jazz | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Jazz | 59c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Jazz won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.