TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Under55c19,566$10,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,804.6324650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9919754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c6,284$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.251,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c4,364$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.652,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c4,158$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c3,965$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c2,222$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.1469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,826$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.6180737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,798$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over47c1,490$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…bcabbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc8a…2b3ebacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…d6e9backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe183…5c61backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x757c…e816backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d77…a556backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ed…504fbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf27b…d6ffbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd215…2502backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0b7…13f5backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0a…cf18backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5d5…d691backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47ee…bf9abacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdf…e40cbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1e…75a7backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f5…1039backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01d5…9cf4backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1806…6059backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5596…468fbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ee3…2507backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bd1…4073backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…e3d7backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…1554backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e6c…266fbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ce8…dd9cbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1221…acb8backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x152c…ef11backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43bf…c9d5backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5489…47eabacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…4e22backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…7386backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48a7…3155backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef3…5726backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc2…5eaabacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7806…9616backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa7…996abacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c28…a010backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9a…9ff5backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xded2…59e7backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x640d…e04abacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43b0…a76fbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…e5d3backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c75…3bdcbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…3bacbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b0…76b8backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9403…6fa4backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8e…f249backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ad0…7da0backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb476…c3f1backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45af…2d5ebacked Under51c1,450$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over45c1,048$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4115147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under54c981.48$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c956.62$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c778.6$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c733.7$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over48c727$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Over47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3297454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c553$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c512.18$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.233,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c329.72$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under50c326.88$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.449742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over45c304.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8817960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74ba…f2c5backed Over49c301$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.491020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Under51c295$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over45c271.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.043423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2850351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under49c221.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c216.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.821,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c195.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c190.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over34c183.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.711,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Over49c162.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4843246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd068…c3bfbacked Over48c145.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.156547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c129.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over46c87.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.121,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.