NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e512c8c2f03aeb49eab753e6df361411643f9dc0909ec7e776daabc19da4d38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Jazz, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,864,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,893,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,864,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,998 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 661,146$368,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292,890.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz | 45c | 208,000$93,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,680 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 42c | 188,342$79,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,811.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 46c | 70,000$32,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,199.85 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Jazz | 44c | 64,318$28,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,300 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 55c | 56,534$31,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,426.59 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Jazz | 42c | 56,304$23,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,590.57 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Jazz | 45c | 55,138$24,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,812.16 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies | 55c | 55,000$30,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.95 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.9 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz | 0c | 45,244$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies | 56c | 41,172$22,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,187.59 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz | 44c | 40,536$17,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,835.96 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz | 45c | 40,000$17,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,881.78 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 39,918$20,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,131.83 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 37,500$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,250 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jazz | 31c | 35,135$10,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,774.09 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Grizzlies | 75c | 35,000$26,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 44c | 32,834$14,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,601.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz | 0c | 28,496$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 35c | 25,911$9,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,847.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Jazz | 44c | 22,700$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz | 38c | 21,641$8,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.37 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 20,863$12,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.27 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 19,000$10,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.99 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Grizzlies | 57c | 18,928$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,139.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Grizzlies | 56c | 18,888$10,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.72 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz | 44c | 18,108$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.52 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Jazz | 44c | 18,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jazz | 44c | 17,500$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 41c | 17,145$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 56c | 16,340$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,212.2 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Jazz | 44c | 15,644$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.5 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies | 62c | 15,362$9,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.95 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Jazz | 44c | 15,146$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689.67 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Grizzlies | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 47c | 13,999$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Grizzlies | 54c | 12,360$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.05 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 12,307$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.93 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Jazz | 45c | 12,256$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.23 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 54c | 11,557$6,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.04 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Jazz | 44c | 11,402$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Jazz | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Jazz | 45c | 11,161$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.61 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Jazz | 0c | 11,117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Jazz | 2c | 10,341$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jazz | 48c | 10,074$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5906…68e8backed Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Grizzlies | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…8861backed Grizzlies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Jazz | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 9,900$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Jazz | 50c | 9,900$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Jazz | 0c | 9,014$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Grizzlies | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Jazz | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.94 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Jazz | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies | 54c | 8,676$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.74 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 51c | 8,657$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Grizzlies | 56c | 8,300$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Jazz | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies | 61c | 7,957$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.82 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz | 1c | 7,675$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 7,667$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.88 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 7,549$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.16 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Jazz | 44c | 7,120$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Jazz | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Jazz | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Grizzlies | 34c | 6,939$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.79 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 57c | 6,900$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.56 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Jazz | 48c | 6,648$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.67 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 6,480$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.15 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…c6e8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,300$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 6,288$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.48 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 40c | 6,245$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.28 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 6,061$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.04 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Jazz | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Grizzlies | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Jazz | 40c | 5,980$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.15 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Jazz | 41c | 5,890$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Jazz | 45c | 5,778$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,336$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.61 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35f…3abfbacked Jazz | 50c | 5,326$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Grizzlies | 55c | 5,219$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.94 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 45c | 5,081$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Jazz | 43c | 5,020$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.59 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Grizzlies | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies | 54c | 4,830$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.8 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz | 13c | 4,760$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.19 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…d618backed Jazz | 50c | 4,670$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 4,630$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.15 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Jazz won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.