TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14cc…7c02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT13842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.54
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,799Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$3,210.38
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.09
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,324.39
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.8
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.06
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,517.07
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+248.3%+$8,594.39
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.27
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$1,073.17
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.29
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,318.24
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,784.58
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11,202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$20,646.7
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.22
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,813Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+264.2%+$10,073.17
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+176.9%+$184.85
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.62
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,716Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$2,433.66
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.2
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$461.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wongbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$218.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.