South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64a3a9798bfa40ca0f1b1e069ae0f8a08d08c2376ace6a7de1cdf5624aba336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 17,112$8,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.78 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 42c | 14,756$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,558.68 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 63c | 14,443$9,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,117.67 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 13,649$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 10,245$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 9,046$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,541.67 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 2c | 4,771$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 39c | 2,699$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.09 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 58c | 2,670$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.44 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.88 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 2,004$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.52 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 11c | 1,982$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 11c | 1,972$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed No | 58c | 1,911$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 39c | 1,898$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.88 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Yes | 34c | 1,353$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 40c | 1,315$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.15 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 1,309$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 43c | 1,018$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.02 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 862$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 71c | 857.13$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 41c | 809.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.15 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 42c | 800$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 69c | 779.53$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 78c | 774.16$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 763.26$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 744.3$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 15c | 706.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 66c | 689.3$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 68c | 644.75$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 639.17$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 611.16$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 73c | 599.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 65c | 572.88$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 69c | 528.91$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes | 40c | 465$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 41c | 413.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked No | 61c | 370.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 20c | 339.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 35c | 245.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 58c | 241.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 39c | 238.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 51c | 230$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 46c | 206.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 35c | 195.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 27c | 191.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 62c | 177$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 14c | 153.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 140.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 67c | 134.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…022abacked No | 58c | 125.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 64c | 125.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 55c | 123$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 58c | 118.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 116.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 64c | 116.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 115.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 54c | 115.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 114$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 58c | 113.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 106.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 71c | 100.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 21c | 99.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 41c | 98.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 42c | 96.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes | 33c | 92.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 74c | 84.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 83.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 41c | 72.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 54c | 63.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed No | 59c | 62.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 57c | 60.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Yes | 79c | 58.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…2698backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 65c | 53.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.