South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ab2d03a2857536de2972cc279d0f5b94ea779642c6b8986ce819390c17e7fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 23,969$15,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.82 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 15,313$5,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 7,161$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.3 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 3,086$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,555$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 37c | 1,194$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.25 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 37c | 1,189$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.06 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 3c | 874$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 710.01$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 56c | 667$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 56c | 667$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 78c | 583.8$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 59c | 393.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 36c | 339$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 6c | 318.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 58c | 273$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 53c | 256.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 251.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 57c | 235.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 30c | 179.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 58c | 163.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 12c | 159$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 31c | 154.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 153.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 150.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…022abacked No | 70c | 125.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 110.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 108.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 34c | 96.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 73.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 73.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 30c | 70.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 67.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 63.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cba5backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 31c | 50.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 37c | 50.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4709backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…2e2dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.