South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0f1e2687e18167c72899f352556dde70aee3c66a91452614929491d203a94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 13,292$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.27 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 32c | 6,250$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.17 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 6,088$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.99 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 79c | 5,658$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.26 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 5,222$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.98 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 4,280$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.94 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 1c | 3,422$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 2,881$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.47 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,833$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.08 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 72c | 2,571$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,247$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.47 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 31c | 1,337$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,250$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 20c | 758.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 21c | 719.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 27c | 646.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 575.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 520.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 378.66$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 18c | 343.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 4c | 286$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 4c | 264.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 261.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 17c | 257.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 73c | 204.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 201.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 190.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 31c | 164.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 155.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 26c | 144$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 143.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…022abacked No | 73c | 125.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 17c | 112.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 72c | 104.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes | 29c | 101.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 73c | 100.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 71c | 98.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 75c | 93.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed No | 73c | 85.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 70c | 85.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Yes | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 72c | 75.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed No | 71c | 70.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 69.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 68.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 71c | 62.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 47.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 72c | 39.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 30c | 37.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 35.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 74c | 33.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 73c | 25.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 24.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked No | 73c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 70c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 73c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.