TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2476…7eee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$81.83
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.45
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$219.34
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$96.49
CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$253.85
CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$207.91
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$227.63
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$278.09
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$70.72
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26%+$12.98
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$17.44
Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$11.67
Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$22.4
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$22.68
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$23.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31%+$9.31
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$16.48
Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Viking FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$13.27
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will IK Start win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$33.08
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$28.31
Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will AIK win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$11.63
IFK Goteborg vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$17.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$97.28
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$14.67
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$15.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.