South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33769f3b21a4f59e0237375320fd11a45a460a05abd01ec9f0ce2450aa4e6771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 5,787$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.74 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 4,660$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 62c | 1,962$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.63 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 1,891$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.23 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 76c | 1,879$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.88 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 65c | 1,764$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.02 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 1,735$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.3 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 1,350$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 42c | 1,000$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 32c | 937.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 733.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 638.66$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 34c | 591.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 496.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 51c | 359.72$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 33c | 346.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 41c | 306.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 55c | 292.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 290.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 266.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 238.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 20c | 235.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 37c | 206.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 63c | 178.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 31c | 159.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 35c | 133.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 120.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 117.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 16c | 112.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 90.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 89.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 54c | 89.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 15c | 88.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 60c | 82.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 76.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 68c | 69.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Over | 58c | 62.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 59.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 63c | 59.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 28c | 56.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…9eabbacked Over | 63c | 52.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 56c | 50.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…db66backed Under | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +109%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 47.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 46c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 40.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Under | 58c | 37.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 78c | 35.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…296fbacked Over | 56c | 35.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 50c | 35.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 49c | 34.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 37c | 28.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 58c | 28.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Under | 43c | 27.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Over | 64c | 26.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 58c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 67c | 24.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 77c | 17.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: CA Newell's Old Boys O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-2.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.