South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a80d0162f2522d9ef6c9f959d96f0a1ea46c28cc30dd476c2529b26714694bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 3,084$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.87 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,923$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 1,360$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 1,203$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.33 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 54c | 906.44$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 860.01$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.87 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 478.15$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 445.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 36c | 399.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 337.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 20c | 290$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 271.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 71c | 170.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 55c | 133.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 55c | 93.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 53c | 88.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 29c | 83.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 69c | 71.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 62c | 54.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 31c | 53.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 57c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 71c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: CA Newell's Old Boys O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-2.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.