Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Start win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb129242ce39c4803c4819664f14378b383e471b016d811bc117628a763bca5ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 6,429$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.8 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,709$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 71c | 2,236$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 2,210$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,765$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 31c | 1,510$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 949.51$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 31c | 903.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 724$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 657.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 69c | 447.13$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 169.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 70c | 108.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 71c | 70.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 61.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 19c | 60.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 49.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 31c | 40.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Start win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.