TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c68…6100

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$167.86
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$248.67
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Noah FA win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$66.96
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$225.8
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$138.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$172.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$109.29
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$126.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$378.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37.1%+$55.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$488.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$392
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.