Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4673071b9d6bb93fa955c7ad2f01edccf9dce458ec668157d6238b92a482683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,361,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,488,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1b3…e2a6backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…e083backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 0c | 54,795$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…a178backed Yes | 55c | 44,951$24,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,925.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 40,505$8,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,423.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…31f4backed Yes | 53c | 29,995$16,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,014.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…a2e7backed Yes | 0c | 29,810$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…df4fbacked Yes | 0c | 27,080$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…c1c5backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…eb96backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…672cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 47c | 19,629$9,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,356.94 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…20afbacked Yes | 0c | 18,250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 43c | 12,974$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,380.91 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…8e89backed Yes | 0c | 12,810$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 11,911$5,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 46c | 11,540$5,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.42 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…a87bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,006$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…76e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,002$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…c2c8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…295fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…c6cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d9…4b99backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…d3f4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…a984backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…976cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…6818backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 43c | 9,503$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.69 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 48c | 9,166$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 8,520$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 54c | 8,486$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.26 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 7,860$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 46c | 6,644$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.89 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 6,252$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.88 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 44c | 5,993$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.58 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 5,949$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.8 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 47c | 5,626$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.51 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.93 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 7c | 5,485$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.71 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed No | 48c | 5,474$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…5a2bbacked Yes | 57c | 4,925$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6f3abacked Yes | 21c | 4,613$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 4,512$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.51 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 3,778$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.92 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed No | 48c | 3,557$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed No | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 32c | 3,242$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.87 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 46c | 3,103$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.47 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 53c | 3,051$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Yes | 52c | 2,960$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…4b60backed No | 48c | 2,833$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 2,820$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.44 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 0c | 2,717$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 2,710$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.75 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 48c | 2,615$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…2f19backed Yes | 52c | 2,405$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 2,352$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.4 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 47c | 2,219$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.93 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941d…0839backed Yes | 54c | 2,189$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 47c | 2,080$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.56 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.95 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…5145backed Yes | 1c | 1,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,975$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…27fcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…27e3backed Yes | 52c | 1,911$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…029bbacked No | 48c | 1,896$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 1,879$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.44 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 1,860$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.85 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…68fbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…bd13backed Yes | 53c | 1,820$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Yes | 53c | 1,768$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.49 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 47c | 1,706$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.47 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,685$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.68 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 63c | 1,672$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.57 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Yes | 52c | 1,661$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 1,660$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.14 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…0994backed Yes | 56c | 1,650$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5f…c56cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,635$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 1,606$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.65 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 57c | 1,604$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.74 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 50c | 1,583$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.31 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed No | 45c | 1,573$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.26 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,536$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 55c | 1,509$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.43 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 46c | 1,509$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.66 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 52c | 1,460$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.88 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 1,422$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 63c | 1,390$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.35 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.