Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb614d1bf271f9d4be8635beedda13a764b343ae01afbd472766b12d463b3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $746,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $740,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 0c | 221,477$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 58,308$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…98eabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…0f9cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…df4fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…ac38backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…eb0abacked Yes | 0c | 18,620$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…87e6backed Yes | 0c | 14,630$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 68c | 12,994$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.99 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 10,763$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.09 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…8809backed Yes | 0c | 10,450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 62c | 10,332$6,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d9…4b99backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…9d13backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…d7c6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…6083backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…7697backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…5cd1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…193abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 9,418$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.79 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 20c | 9,368$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.9 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 9,019$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.2 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 8,778$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.46 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 8,534$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.34 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 22c | 6,077$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.55 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 5,386$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.52 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 5,211$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.1 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…976cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…017abacked Yes | 10c | 5,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Yes | 4c | 4,939$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 38c | 4,700$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 4,572$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.08 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 78c | 3,619$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.93 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 76c | 3,619$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.81 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Yes | 39c | 3,205$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…16f9backed Yes | 38c | 2,585$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…9d51backed Yes | 39c | 2,466$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 62c | 2,444$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.31 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…0994backed Yes | 37c | 2,395$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 75c | 2,289$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 2,133$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 62c | 2,100$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 2,072$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.51 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…d325backed No | 71c | 1,826$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 62c | 1,775$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,731$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.03 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…30d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,688$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 1,639$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.87 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 1,606$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.46 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 1,582$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.83 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed No | 62c | 1,555$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 80c | 1,552$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 1,540$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.07 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 1,538$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.66 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,483$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.58 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 39c | 1,462$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 62c | 1,455$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.73 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 1,414$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…5dedbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 1,311$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 62c | 1,284$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.81 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…2b6abacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 66c | 1,154$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.3 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 62c | 1,065$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…b52cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,032$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…f2fcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,007$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 992$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…0af2backed Yes | 17c | 988.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…2fd1backed Yes | 14c | 973.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 62c | 922.96$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.73 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…a2e7backed Yes | 3c | 922.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 813.8$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…ef1bbacked Yes | 30c | 787.48$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 61c | 779.92$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.17 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…bb37backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 657.36$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…3bd2backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…8cfebacked Yes | 13c | 590.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 65c | 549.23$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.23 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 542.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 38c | 531.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…2739backed Yes | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…174dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1afa…0f35backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…d9e3backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 512.43$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…78e3backed Yes | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 61c | 478.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…55f4backed Yes | 37c | 470.27$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 35c | 446.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…c3acbacked Yes | 32c | 444.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Yes | 23c | 435.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8c…1a65backed Yes | 10c | 416.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. Spain?this page
- Spain to score first vs. Argentina?No won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.