TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x090a…0fa6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
522
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 56 out of 100; worst F1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT17953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.03
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.3
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$26.87
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.36
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$23.48
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$53.06
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+273.7%+$227.62
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.04
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,471.99
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+237.9%+$2,259.26
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$106.67
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.29
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,508.63
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$122.02
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$66.9
Will the method of victory for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Argentina Win: Regular Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.92
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$80.8
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$15.55
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$16.79
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$7,748.89
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$202.26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$64.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.21
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$42.12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$187.64
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104%+$117.37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$138.9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.44
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+27%+$127
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$121.93
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$168.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88%+$388.71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$133.04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$79.17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$56.53
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$17.73
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4032.5%13 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$52.19
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.62
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$97.44
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$22.7
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.28
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$375.61
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,448Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$1,229.29
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.33
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+436.7%+$79.01
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$338.2
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.79
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.54
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.04
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.78
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$114.37
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$138.17
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$239.59
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$65.95
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$31.67
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.65
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.27
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.75
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$41.72
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$44.6
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$216.26
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.41
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.97
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$156.25
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$47.32
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.46
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$385.37
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.77
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63%+$30.93
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.87
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.82
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.81
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$223.14
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,921.06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$2,878.82
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,681.49
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$82.19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$5
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$49.49
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$34.15
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.67
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.53
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+183%+$162.1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+27%+$84.57
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.51
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$373
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+48%+$26.97
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$288.41
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.23
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$120.69
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LGD Gaming vs MOUZ: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$23.5
Nigma Galaxy vs 1win: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.7
Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$62.98
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$44.01
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
1win vs Team Yandex: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$113.78
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Virtus.pro vs 1win: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Team Liquid vs PlayTime: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.27
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.89
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Shelbourne FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.54
Will FC Flora vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$172.4
Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$233.92
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.22
Will Bohemian FC vs. FC Ballkani end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$92.98
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764.47
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.43
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$44.63
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.2
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.36
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$467.7
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.82
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$42.21
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$10
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.54
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$16.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.76
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$150.97
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$21.8
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$12.9
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$89.81
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$153.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.57
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$175.02
Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$75.06
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.68
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$21.04
Will Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$15.23
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.29
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$129.31
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,512.84
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12,374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$5,106.59
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$4,278.86
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$23.7
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.65
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$56.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.51
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$148.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.