Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544ad971fa6e6fe217544a09593d288b14de2fca8818a631b7428889c2430fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $896,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 56c | 535,265$298,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236,571.77 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 150,545$66,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,029.56 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 44c | 47,769$21,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,099.01 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 39,196$20,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,479.38 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 44c | 36,001$15,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,840.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 53c | 35,981$19,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,772.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 29,000$12,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,916.15 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 27,840$12,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,452.75 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 50c | 26,825$13,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,475.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 47c | 24,250$11,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,397.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 44c | 22,222$9,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,777.68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed No | 47c | 21,890$10,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,288.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 18,413$8,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,132.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 51c | 18,258$9,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382.85 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 54c | 17,520$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,059.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 17,500$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…be04backed No | 46c | 15,920$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 46c | 15,556$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 49c | 15,458$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked No | 46c | 15,386$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 47c | 13,243$6,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,224.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 11,193$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.59 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 46c | 9,561$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.23 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 9,517$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.6 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 46c | 8,771$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.03 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked No | 52c | 8,624$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 45c | 6,666$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.66 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 45c | 6,321$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.73 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 6,257$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.62 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked No | 49c | 6,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 45c | 5,931$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.85 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 5,631$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.03 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed No | 47c | 4,928$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 46c | 4,814$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 45c | 4,772$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.34 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 4,709$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.12 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 4,603$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.27 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 44c | 4,521$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.35 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 4,470$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.82 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 46c | 4,378$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.34 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 48c | 3,867$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed No | 48c | 3,284$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 47c | 3,255$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 3,231$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.07 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 52c | 2,794$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 44c | 2,751$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 46c | 2,700$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 41c | 2,545$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.76 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 43c | 2,483$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.14 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 2,166$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.04 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…2351backed No | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…8f17backed No | 47c | 1,990$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Yes | 50c | 1,976$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 1,743$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.62 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,715$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.64 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 42c | 1,706$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.24 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 53c | 1,507$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ab…d5a7backed No | 26c | 1,432$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 51c | 1,262$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.65 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Yes | 73c | 1,247$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 1,074$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.63 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 44c | 981.97$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 955.66$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 54c | 951.14$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 44c | 937.69$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.87 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 47c | 937.5$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 52c | 920.4$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.11 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…5d52backed Yes | 50c | 834.23$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 31c | 811.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.16 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…150dbacked No | 51c | 792.51$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 32c | 608$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 48c | 599.02$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.26 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 59c | 560.49$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 47c | 534.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 533.75$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Yes | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 54c | 452.01$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 47c | 425.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 49c | 411.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed No | 61c | 408.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 44c | 408$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 48c | 394.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 40c | 392.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Yes | 50c | 384.61$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 366.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 18c | 366.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 348.39$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 344.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 44c | 288$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 46c | 280.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.