Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf37e9a362a65c6c7e055535ff3db8a7fd8b76d7a85e881e8b77f52d8df1f1b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 9,407$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.21 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 71c | 9,140$6,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.96 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 29c | 6,446$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.45 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 6,257$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.36 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,677$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.8 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 27c | 2,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.87 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 1,587$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.84 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 64c | 1,526$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.49 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,348$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.83 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 29c | 1,103$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 34c | 1,076$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 30c | 1,003$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 29c | 812.67$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.67 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 758.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 747.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Yes | 2c | 722$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 30c | 666.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 77c | 652.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 602.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 71c | 576.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…4500backed No | 71c | 543.66$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +111%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 476.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 377.66$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 72c | 307.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 48c | 301.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 19c | 280.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 31c | 276$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 254.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ab…d5a7backed Yes | 19c | 252$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 249$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 80c | 236.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes | 45c | 226.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 25c | 219$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 187.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 27c | 184.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 73c | 180.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 21c | 179.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 72c | 158.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3862backed Yes | 21c | 152.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 26c | 146.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 26c | 144.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 143.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 29c | 140.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 73c | 138.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 129.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 126.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Yes | 23c | 126.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 124.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked No | 79c | 124.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 26c | 123.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 54c | 119$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 30c | 108.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 101.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 74c | 96.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…ead7backed No | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Yes | 26c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 73.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Yes | 31c | 71.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 70c | 70.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 56c | 67.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 60.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 29c | 57.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 53.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 51.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 79c | 49.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 72c | 45.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 45.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 35c | 44.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 73c | 40.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 72c | 37.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 46c | 32.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.