TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb34c…449c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$61.96
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.32
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$333.97
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.7
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.02
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.7
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.04
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.07
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.06
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.83
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$265.82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.96
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$237.38
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.64
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.87
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.48
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+400%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.