Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9424d3d95f6a433a1b3628d7faec0e3dcf3e7f23576293df83ae6e9f5b6d984d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,470$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Yes | 42c | 8,571$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 5,779$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.94 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 4,107$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.76 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes | 41c | 2,595$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 42c | 2,447$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 2,060$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.12 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 38c | 2,022$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 58c | 1,709$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.31 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 61c | 1,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.21 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,629$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.55 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 18c | 1,106$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 1,102$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.81 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 989.67$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 41c | 804.88$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 39c | 740$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 724.45$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 31c | 692.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.42 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 503.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 42c | 481.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 59c | 428.01$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 38c | 420.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 59c | 392$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 57c | 350$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 43c | 342$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 303.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 299.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 294$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 78c | 218.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 57c | 214.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 211.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 205.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 60c | 200.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 176.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 59c | 170.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 59c | 160.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 137.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 31c | 136.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 135.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 64c | 134.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 42c | 125.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 55c | 123.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes | 42c | 123.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 41c | 117.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 58c | 115.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yes | 44c | 114.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 43c | 102.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 95.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 39c | 80.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 71.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 43c | 66.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 57.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 60c | 53.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 40c | 53.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 59c | 47.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked No | 58c | 46.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 34c | 44.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 58c | 41.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Yes | 42c | 40.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 40c | 39.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 44c | 35.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 58c | 31.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 40c | 31.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…f289backed Yes | 39c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed Yes | 38c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 27.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.