Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093636445aa0cd238fc30a8b831dadbb5e5c31c70d1c24b58ac82744ba0b1eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 28c | 2,716$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 2,685$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.93 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 2c | 2,324$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,098$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 882.36$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 7c | 560.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 483.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 390.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 353.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 308.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed No | 73c | 304.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 296.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 27c | 225.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 28c | 140.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 16c | 114.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 27c | 114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 21c | 111.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 67.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 73c | 54.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 44.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 23.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.