Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f7d0989069316473408c2c4a8bb165bcef9e4415c2cca1607cb3255dc1a9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 6c | 62,043$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.84 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 1c | 41,448$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.04 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 73c | 971.84$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 78c | 896.42$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 5c | 880$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 52c | 798.35$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 8c | 790.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 7c | 761.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 21c | 713.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 48c | 687.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 54c | 611.2$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 56c | 570.37$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 9c | 497.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 491.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.34 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 13c | 417.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 372$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 34c | 354.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 314.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 19c | 286.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 271.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 76c | 195.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 185.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed No | 16c | 184.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 179.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 161.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 158.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 155.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 36c | 149.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 44c | 141.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yes | 74c | 138.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 51c | 128.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 54c | 124.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 16c | 123.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 79c | 121.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 18c | 84.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…b119backed Yes | 71c | 81.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 52c | 59.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 51.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 50.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 35.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 28.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 26.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…f289backed No | 54c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.