TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x161a…4103backed No60c7,543$4,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No73c5,006$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.651,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes61c4,836$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.0835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes34c4,525$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.4171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c4,495$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.477549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes36c3,349$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.811,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes27c2,967$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.66341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No65c2,926$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.23955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes51c2,804$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes38c2,771$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.3913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c1,760$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.7599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked No44c1,504$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c1,452$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes62c1,212$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.442040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4011…ced5backed Yes39c1,111$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.29333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes32c1,099$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.217753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes32c1,085$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No41c1,084$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.854751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes5c1,070$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.525440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes8c1,031$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.373324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes58c1,006$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.64261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No41c999.92$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.953551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes28c999.31$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1944447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes42c888$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.963735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes28c833.08$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.575954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No62c771.85$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.526339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No60c750.19$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.882965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No61c688.34$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0719641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes37c678.81$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.092441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No38c666.16$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.0212654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes28c586.37$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes53c507.69$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3055464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes59c484.25$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes61c469$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.781540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed No68c440.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.122479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes39c398.9$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.629357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No60c391.33$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes58c370.89$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No41c368.6$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4813347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Yes62c363.6$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.433844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Yes59c355.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes34c352.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.055752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No38c351.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes36c343.63$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3619852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes61c322.8$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9133346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c316.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7273…aeb0backed Yes24c300.55$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No39c273.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No75c265.16$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes38c262.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No39c259.74$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.444254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No38c243.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No60c238.4$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3610840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes5c231.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.023938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c229$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes44c226.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.046352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Yes32c222.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes59c219.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.514245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c214.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes63c209.23$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes59c205.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No60c195.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9726450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No42c181.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.144158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes59c172.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Yes18c159.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c143.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7736646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed No44c120.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.351776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a46…2482backed Yes60c118.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c111.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes23c106.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes35c102.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7312346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes59c98.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No41c97.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.253060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.087367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Yes44c91.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No43c90.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.552850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked No72c90.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes28c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No59c84.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No41c82.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.742035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes26c82.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes32c73.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.636232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes37c64.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.