Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5c4981f6fc4961abf245594c85153f329e4717dc0a3af4506d96a193375456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 5,733$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.52 | 718 | 43.5%312 W · 406 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 5,649$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.82 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 59c | 5,275$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.76 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 58c | 3,986$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 3,701$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.18 | 976 | 46.2%451 W · 525 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 38c | 3,652$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.76 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 2,457$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.23 | 1,449 | 36.8%533 W · 916 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 2,305$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.58 | 1,002 | 40.2%403 W · 599 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,161$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.29 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 11c | 1,927$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 79c | 1,714$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 5c | 1,502$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 41c | 1,465$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,370$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.09 | 450 | 47.1%212 W · 238 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 21c | 1,333$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.27 | 404 | 35.4%143 W · 261 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 1,236$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 1,207$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 1,111$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.08 | 682 | 50.7%346 W · 336 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,035$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 1,033$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.2 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 41c | 1,016$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.11 | 318 | 46.5%148 W · 170 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed No | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked No | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 991.68$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 1,271 | 45.4%577 W · 694 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 18c | 887.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 873.67$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 533 | 46.7%249 W · 284 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 795.25$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.44 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 33c | 612.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 75c | 611.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 570.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 478 | 40.2%192 W · 286 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 58c | 568.56$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yes | 59c | 540.69$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…9b18backed Yes | 45c | 519$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 38c | 491.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 487.65$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 1,888 | 36.5%690 W · 1,198 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 38c | 485.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 476.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 743 | 37.8%281 W · 462 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 37c | 422.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 12c | 416.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 79c | 381$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 33c | 357.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 19c | 350$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 41c | 284.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 40c | 278$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 38c | 277$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 245$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 996 | 45.4%452 W · 544 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 241.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 731 | 50.8%371 W · 360 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…308bbacked Yes | 38c | 217.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 60c | 208.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes | 19c | 199.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 37c | 198.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 195.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 195$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 527 | 39.5%208 W · 319 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 377 | 49.9%188 W · 189 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked No | 50c | 187.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 79c | 176.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 63c | 175.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 17c | 171.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked Yes | 57c | 170.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 80c | 166.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed No | 64c | 155.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5a9cbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 49c | 141.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 532 | 24.1%128 W · 404 L | -24.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 37c | 133.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…9a43backed Yes | 15c | 133.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 26.2%64 W · 180 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 40c | 119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Yes | 23c | 118.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 18c | 117$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 22c | 104.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 371 | 46.6%173 W · 198 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…37d2backed No | 67c | 98.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 22c | 92.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 62c | 87.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 38c | 86.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 20c | 84.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 79c | 78.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 25c | 75.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 69c | 72.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 20c | 68.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Yes | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 61.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 59.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 552 | 49.3%272 W · 280 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.