TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9237…9c99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$581
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$170.59
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$171.38
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$158.86
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$165.48
Thunder vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$210
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$101.67
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+27%+$540.18
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+210.9%+$485.1
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$67.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$152.63
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$215.52
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$88.67
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.26
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$83.41
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$417.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$134.42
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$138.29
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$499
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$69.03
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,053.2
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 4 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$186.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$82.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.