NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05d8ff62e7335e4d5eb06cab8ee02726b1f38e677c2861e5e1119967fd6d1851

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,814,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,814,040 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards	4c	247,187$9,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,887.49	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Wizards	5c	172,557$8,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,627.83	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Wizards	1c	100,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Wizards	5c	58,500$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,925	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards	5c	41,015$2,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050.73	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	4c	35,199$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.95	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	4c	33,196$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.09	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Wizards	7c	28,813$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.92	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Wizards	6c	24,204$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,536.29	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards	5c	18,239$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards	4c	15,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards	5c	14,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards	4c	13,767$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.7	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	2c	13,435$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.95	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Wizards	7c	11,729$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards	4c	11,001$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.03	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…eb4abacked Wizards	0c	10,950$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdacf…9427backed Wizards	1c	10,697$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	5c	10,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards	7c	10,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	5c	9,469$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.15	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Wizards	6c	9,285$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.79	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Wizards	6c	8,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Wizards	8c	8,743$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.20per pick	31cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd00…d827backed Wizards	8c	8,464$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed Wizards	1c	8,445$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	6c	8,213$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.07	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…5119backed Wizards	7c	7,533$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.77	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards	9c	7,407$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.02	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Wizards	7c	7,341$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f70…9f21backed Wizards	11c	7,313$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.66	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Wizards	4c	7,284$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.35	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	7c	6,766$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.68	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Wizards	9c	6,499$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Wizards	6c	5,050$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	78	64.1%50 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Wizards	5c	4,800$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x831a…bb23backed Wizards	7c	4,666$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.62	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddc…74a6backed Wizards	7c	4,649$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.43	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	4,630$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55c9…f44dbacked Wizards	7c	4,475$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d7…f9bfbacked Wizards	7c	4,210$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.7	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea7d…7b4ebacked Wizards	7c	4,106$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.42	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0703…9185backed Wizards	7c	4,104$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	9c	4,065$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.15	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a94…befdbacked Wizards	7c	3,800$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0689…9171backed Wizards	6c	3,474$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.02	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-7.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Wizards	5c	3,279$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Wizards	4c	3,062$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.24	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Wizards	3c	3,058$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.75	331	39.3%130 W · 201 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Wizards	7c	3,050$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	5c	3,031$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.43	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e98…3a8abacked Wizards	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-71%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4524…caa8backed Wizards	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Wizards	4c	3,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Wizards	8c	2,631$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Wizards	6c	2,628$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.06	101	30.7%31 W · 70 L	-9.9wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards	5c	2,519$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.45	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Wizards	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Wizards	4c	2,406$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Wizards	6c	2,348$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Wizards	6c	2,233$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.73	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards	7c	2,190$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Wizards	5c	2,120$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.2	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e2…e6a9backed Wizards	5c	2,057$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.19per pick	35cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards	12c	1,745$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.43	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Wizards	6c	1,683$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards	8c	1,662$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Wizards	4c	1,656$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.22	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Wizards	6c	1,603$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	3c	1,547$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Wizards	5c	1,534$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.72	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Wizards	4c	1,482$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.09	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed Wizards	7c	1,454$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Wizards	5c	1,400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	125	8%10 W · 115 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	9c	1,297$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.04	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Wizards	5c	1,297$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.83	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Wizards	4c	1,131$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	458	38%174 W · 284 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Wizards	11c	1,091$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Wizards	7c	1,061$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Wizards	6c	1,060$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3728…df86backed Wizards	4c	1,045$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	7c	1,009$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.02	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…1d66backed Wizards	6c	1,002$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Wizards	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…d595backed Wizards	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Wizards	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Wizards	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Wizards	8c	998.43$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.53	186	51.6%96 W · 90 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Wizards	3c	952.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Wizards	11c	909.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards	2c	880.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Wizards	12c	834.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Wizards	6c	804.66$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-12.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b2…963dbacked Wizards	6c	795.72$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Wizards	6c	792.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	152	48.7%74 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Wizardsthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Wizards won
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event