NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4d674ef59d87c4b42de711df0abc5c29168e034be6d099f833882e67ebac42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,368 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 56c | 23,598$13,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,383.3 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Under | 44c | 23,286$10,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,245.89 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 46c | 11,913$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.22 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 2c | 6,559$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…7655backed Under | 45c | 6,454$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…52ebbacked Over | 55c | 5,552$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…0febbacked Over | 55c | 5,548$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…4b5dbacked Under | 45c | 5,346$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…fa0dbacked Over | 55c | 4,788$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,623$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 4,316$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.01 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…8c17backed Under | 45c | 3,942$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…0f28backed Over | 55c | 3,686$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked Under | 45c | 2,751$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…3633backed Under | 45c | 2,746$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…c245backed Over | 55c | 2,417$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7befbacked Under | 45c | 2,411$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…41a2backed Over | 55c | 2,323$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…1285backed Under | 45c | 2,313$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 2,239$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…5958backed Over | 55c | 2,219$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…eaffbacked Under | 45c | 2,206$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…d638backed Under | 45c | 2,155$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 2,153$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…70c9backed Over | 55c | 2,096$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…c987backed Under | 45c | 2,053$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…2dbcbacked Over | 55c | 2,044$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 45c | 2,039$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.54 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1774…5708backed Over | 55c | 2,034$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…1f2fbacked Over | 55c | 1,980$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eff…64c2backed Over | 55c | 1,830$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…22d6backed Under | 45c | 1,767$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1a71backed Under | 45c | 1,752$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…0d32backed Over | 55c | 1,728$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…9bf8backed Over | 55c | 1,633$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…4569backed Under | 45c | 1,561$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,511$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.76 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 58c | 1,442$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…06dfbacked Under | 45c | 1,335$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…4bedbacked Under | 45c | 1,310$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 55c | 999.93$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 4c | 692.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 550.45$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 45c | 498.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 43c | 496.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 55c | 370.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 57c | 367.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 56c | 352.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 331.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 326$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 322.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 41c | 322$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 44c | 287.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 56c | 279.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 254.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…3e22backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 58c | 190.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 56c | 135.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 134.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…6c18backed Under | 45c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…80c5backed Over | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…6e2ebacked Under | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…295ebacked Over | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 72c | 103.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 99.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 55c | 89.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 57c | 70.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…824abacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 55c | 66.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 56c | 60.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…fff6backed Under | 43c | 54.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 42c | 54.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 57c | 44.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 39.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
- Thunder vs. WizardsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.