NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd6f9b9417a64ab69dbb1b36f914b35b2b48ec9530e4a7ef48b8fe78f9e6e8cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,847 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 114,108$56,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,241.15 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 61,836$30,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,912.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 61,488$30,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,358.87 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 31,529$15,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,814.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 21,270$10,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,660.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e420backed Under | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 49c | 13,589$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 11,438$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.38 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…fb17backed Under | 51c | 9,388$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 51c | 8,622$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 6,514$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.9 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 51c | 6,337$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.1 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 36c | 5,908$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 52c | 5,392$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 5,027$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 4,877$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 51c | 4,352$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 3,736$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 3,117$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 52c | 1,976$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 51c | 1,798$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.86 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 51c | 1,703$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,651$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Under | 6c | 1,617$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,608$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 1,575$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.53 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 1,252$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Under | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.08 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 1,210$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.47 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,074$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 51c | 1,049$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.06 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 858$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Over | 50c | 835.28$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.84 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 50c | 807.49$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.77 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 51c | 797.67$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.09 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Over | 50c | 736.02$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over | 50c | 736$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Over | 50c | 734.84$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.35 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 648.35$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.83 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 28c | 640.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 571.57$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.1 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 557.4$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 51c | 538.39$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.58 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Over | 51c | 533$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 530$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Over | 52c | 523.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 5c | 470.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 51c | 467$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.83 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 69c | 420.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Under | 50c | 401.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 397.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 351.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Over | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Over | 50c | 277.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 268$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 51c | 268$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 250.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 20c | 243$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Under | 51c | 242.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 240.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 11c | 237.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 51c | 212.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Over | 50c | 211.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 50c | 205.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0803…3a65backed Under | 23c | 197.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Under | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 51c | 178.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 50c | 167.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 53c | 147.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Over | 50c | 146.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 145.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 50c | 142.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Over | 50c | 136.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Over | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
- Thunder vs. WizardsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.