NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70275f5cf9359cd7ad3e0810f045eda2e5069b2d29c0cee51cd11ba7cafaff18

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $630,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,389 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	52c	512,088$267,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245,064.3	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	48c	180,190$86,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,040.96	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	48c	122,276$58,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,746.93	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	48c	100,000$48,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	47,843$22,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,933.92	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under	49c	22,461$10,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,919.64	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	52c	7,000$3,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x971b…6f63backed Over	51c	6,628$3,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,247.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	49c	6,532$3,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,178.27	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197a…a15abacked Over	51c	6,264$3,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,069.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under	49c	6,165$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad0…2772backed Under	49c	5,986$2,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,933.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…ad3dbacked Under	49c	5,638$2,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,762.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3fd…24b2backed Under	49c	5,318$2,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,605.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	5,141$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,473.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8f…4bedbacked Over	51c	4,564$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,236.36	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	49c	3,692$1,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,806.97	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…8ea0backed Under	48c	2,813$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	2,643$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.89	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	49c	2,587$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.5	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	47c	2,342$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.45	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	2,322$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.88	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over	51c	1,520$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.61	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.97	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over	50c	1,466$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.66	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under	48c	998.06$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.07	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	48c	961$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.28	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2d…4b5dbacked Under	49c	946$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.54	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	933.4$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.16	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	766.42$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.81	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	50c	602.59$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under	48c	587.5$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over	53c	570$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.9	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	48c	555.39$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.58	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over	53c	436.8$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.3	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+8.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f55…0232backed Over	51c	432$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under	48c	418.75$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under	49c	367.59$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.2	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	73c	348.62$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	49c	343.28$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.59	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under	50c	332.82$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.06	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.02	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb896…ac39backed Over	54c	232.83$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.1	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc20…dc0bbacked Under	49c	230$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over	54c	217.52$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.06	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under	49c	213.6$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.76	346	41%142 W · 204 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+29%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under	32c	201.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.81	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	53c	201.89$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.89	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed Over	53c	188.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.52	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	67c	185.22$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.39	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Over	54c	185$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.1	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under	51c	157.64$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under	48c	155$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	51c	150.14$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.57	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	52c	148$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.04	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	48c	145.51$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.85	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	49c	143$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.07	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	49c	131.54$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.88	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	49c	127.74$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.15	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over	53c	119.6$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.23	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377e…a5eabacked Under	22c	113.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	48c	108.79$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over	53c	94.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	37	75.7%28 W · 9 L	+7.7wins	+0.21per pick	55cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under	49c	91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under	48c	89.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over	53c	88$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.36	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over	54c	87.3$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.16	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over	52c	82.83$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	52c	80.52$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.65	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	50c	77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa167…ebf9backed Over	54c	63.83$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	47c	59.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	52c	59.25$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5056…0657backed Over	54c	57.35$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	51cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	48c	57.32$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.24	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9427…8d06backed Over	75c	57.19$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	49c	56.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	48c	51.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	57c	49.8$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	49c	48.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	77c	47.84$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…6123backed Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Wizards won
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
Thunder vs. WizardsThunder won
Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event